Turning Point Valuation

TPB Stock  USD 129.97  4.72  3.77%   
At this time, the company appears to be fairly valued. Turning Point Brands has a current Real Value of $132.81 per share. The regular price of the company is $129.97. Our model measures the value of Turning Point Brands from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.25, shares outstanding of 19.07 M, and Operating Margin of 0.23 % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Turning Point's valuation include:
Price Book
7.2064
Enterprise Value
2.6 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
23.7656
Price Sales
5.6886
Forward PE
28.169
Fairly Valued
Today
129.97
Please note that Turning Point's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Turning Point Brands is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Turning Point's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Turning Point is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Turning Stock. However, Turning Point's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  129.97 Real  132.81 Target  121.25 Hype  132.7 Naive  129.14
The real value of Turning Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Turning Point Brands Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Turning Point's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Turning Point's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
116.97
Downside
132.81
Real Value
134.75
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Turning Point Brands helps investors to forecast how Turning stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Turning Point more accurately as focusing exclusively on Turning Point's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.921.031.16
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
116.97132.70134.64
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.190.190.19
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
110.34121.25134.59
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Turning Point's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Turning Point's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Turning Point's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Turning Point we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Turning Point Cash

39.02 Million

Turning Point Total Value Analysis

Turning Point Brands is at this time projected to have company total value of 2.58 B with market capitalization of 2.48 B, debt of 261.27 M, and cash on hands of 107.43 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Turning Point fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
2.58 B
2.48 B
261.27 M
107.43 M

Turning Point Investor Information

About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.05. Turning Point Brands last dividend was issued on the 19th of December 2025. Based on the key indicators related to Turning Point's liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Turning Point Brands may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average risk of going through some form of financial distress next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.160.22
Way Down
Very volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities81 M77.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income54.1 M99.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Turning Point Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Turning Point has an asset utilization ratio of 73.1 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.73 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Turning Point Brands is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Turning Point Profitability Analysis

Based on Turning Point's profitability indicators, Turning Point's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average risk of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Turning Point's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2004-03-31
Previous Quarter
14.5 M
Current Value
21.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
10.2 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At present, Turning Point's Pretax Profit Margin is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.10, whereas Gross Profit is forecasted to decline to about 135.1 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.390.5
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Operating Profit Margin0.160.22
Way Down
Very volatile
For Turning Point profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Turning Point Brands to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Turning Point utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Turning Point's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Turning Point over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Turning Point Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Turning Point is estimated to be 1.031675 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.9175 to a high of 1.1575. Turning Point's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 3.24. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Turning Point Brands is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Turning Point is projected to generate 1.031675 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Turning Point earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Turning Point EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Turning Point's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Turning Point, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Turning Point Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Turning Point's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Turning Point is estimated to be 1.031675 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.9175 to a high of 1.1575. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Turning Point Brands is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.92
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.031675
1.16
Highest

Turning Point Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Turning Point's value are higher than the current market price of the Turning Point stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Turning Point is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Turning Point's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
579.13%
0.0
1.031675
3.24

Turning Point Ownership Allocation

The majority of Turning Point Brands outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Turning Point to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Turning Point Brands. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Turning Point Brands as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

Turning Point Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 360.66 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 48.03 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 249.08 M.

Turning Point Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Turning Point's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Turning Point and how it compares across the competition.

About Turning Point Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Turning Point's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Turning Point. We calculate exposure to Turning Point's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Turning Point's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit231.8 M135.1 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.16  0.17 
Operating Profit Margin 0.22  0.16 
Net Profit Margin 0.10  0.10 
Gross Profit Margin 0.50  0.39 
Turning Point's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Turning Point's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Turning Point can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Turning Point represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Turning, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Turning Point Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The current year's Dividend Yield is expected to grow to 0, whereas Dividends Paid is projected to grow to (4.2 M). . At present, Turning Point's Retained Earnings are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Retained Earnings Total Equity is expected to grow to about 95 M, whereas Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to grow to (6.84).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-4.4 M-4.2 M
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.12  0.11 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 6.33  4.18 
There are various types of dividends Turning Point can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Turning shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Turning Point Brands directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Turning pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Turning Point by the value of the dividends paid out.

Turning Point Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.4 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.687
Forward Price Earnings28.169

Turning Point Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Turning Point Brands and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Turning we look at many different elements of the entity such as Turning's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Turning Point, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Turning Point's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Turning Point's worth.

Complementary Tools for Turning Stock analysis

When running Turning Point's price analysis, check to measure Turning Point's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Turning Point is operating at the current time. Most of Turning Point's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Turning Point's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Turning Point's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Turning Point to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments